May 11, 2018

ํ•ญ๊ณต ๋ฐ•๋ฌผ๊ด€

ํ•ญ๊ณต ๋ฐ•๋ฌผ๊ด€ (Museum of Flight), Seattle, WA

Address: 4097, 9404 E Marginal Way S, Seattle, WA 98108, United States

์‹œ์• ํ‹€ ๊ฐ€๋ณผ ๋งŒํ•œ ๊ณณ์„ ์กฐํšŒํ•˜๋ฉด ์ƒ์œ„๊ถŒ์„ ์ฐจ์ง€ํ•˜๋Š” ํ•ญ๊ณต๋ฐ•๋ฌผ๊ด€.

์‹œ์• ํ‹€์˜ ์˜คํ”ผ์Šค ์ž„์ฐจ์ธ์„ ๋ณด๋ฉด ์‹œ์• ํ‹€์ด ์•„๋งˆ์กด(Amazon.com, 1994)์˜ ๋„์‹œ๋ผ๋Š” ์ƒ๊ฐ์ด ๋“ญ๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.

์˜คํ”ผ์Šค ์ž„์ฐจ์ธ์€ ๋ˆˆ์— ์ž˜ ๋ณด์ด์ง€ ์•Š์œผ๋‹ˆ ์•„๋งˆ์กด ๊ณ (Amazon Go) 1ํ˜ธ์  ์ •๋„๊ฐ€ ๋ˆˆ์— ๋„๊ฒ ๋„ค์š”.

๋ˆˆ์— ๋งŽ์ด ๋„๋Š” ๊ฑด ์Šคํƒ€๋ฒ…์Šค(Starbucks, 1971)์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ์ •๋ง ๋งŽ์€ ์Šคํƒ€๋ฒ…์Šค๊ฐ€ ์žˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.

๊ทธ๋ฆฌ๊ณ , ๋‘ ๊ธฐ์—… ๋ณด๋‹ค ํ›จ์”ฌ ์ „๋ถ€ํ„ฐ ์žˆ์—ˆ๋˜ ๊ธฐ์—…์œผ๋กœ๋Š” ๋ณด์ž‰(The Boeing Company, 1916)์ด ์žˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ๋ณด์ž‰ ํˆฌ์–ด(Boeing Factory & Future of Flight Center Tour)์™€ ํ•ญ๊ณต ๋ฐ•๋ฌผ๊ด€(Museum of Flight)์€ ์‹œ์• ํ‹€์ด ๋ณด์ž‰์˜ ๋„์‹œ๊ตฌ๋‚˜๋ผ๋Š” ์ƒ๊ฐ์„ ํ•˜๊ฒŒ ๋งŒ๋“ญ๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.

๊ทธ ์ค‘ ํ•ญ๊ณต ๋ฐ•๋ฌผ๊ด€์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ๋‹ค์–‘ํ•œ ํ•ญ๊ณต๊ธฐ๋“ค์ด ์ „์‹œ๋˜์–ด ์žˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.











May 09, 2018

ํ—๊ฑฐ๊ฒŒ์ž„

ํ—๊ฑฐ๊ฒŒ์ž„ (The Hunger Games)

ํ—๊ฑฐ๊ฒŒ์ž„: ๋ชจํ‚น์ œ์ด(The Hunger Games: Mockingjay – Part 1, 2014)์™€ ํ—๊ฑฐ๊ฒŒ์ž„: ๋” ํŒŒ์ด๋„(The Hunger Games: Mockingjay – Part 2, 2015)๋„ ์žˆ์ง€๋งŒ ๋‘ ํŽธ์€ ์•„์ง ๋ณด๊ธฐ ์ „์— ์“ด ๊ธ€์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.

Suzanne Collins์˜ ์†Œ์„ค์„ ์›์ž‘์œผ๋กœ ํ•ฉ๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ์‚ด์ธ๊ฒŒ์ž„, ๋ณด๋Š” ์‹œ๊ฐ์— ๋”ฐ๋ผ ์ƒ์กด๊ฒŒ์ž„์„ ์†Œ์žฌ๋กœ ์‚ผ์•˜์œผ๋ฉฐ, 1994๋…„ ๋‚˜์˜จ ์ผ๋ณธ์˜ ์œ ๋ช… ์†Œ์„ค ๋ฐฐํ‹€๋กœ์–„(Battle Royale, ใƒใƒˆใƒซ・ใƒญใƒฏใ‚คใ‚ขใƒซ)์„ ๋– ์˜ฌ๋ฆฌ๊ฒŒ ํ•ฉ๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.

(1)๊ตญ๊ฐ€๊ฐ€ ์ •๊ถŒ๊ณผ ์ฒด์ œ ์œ ์ง€๋ฅผ ์œ„ํ•ด ๋ณธ ๊ฒŒ์ž„์„ ์ด์šฉํ•œ๋‹ค๋Š” ์ , (2)๋Œ€์ƒ์ž๋ฅผ ๋ฌด์ž‘์œ„๋กœ ์„ ์ •ํ•˜์—ฌ, ๋ณธ์ธ ์˜์ง€์™€ ์ƒ๊ด€์—†์ด ๊ฒŒ์ž„์— ์ฐธ๊ฐ€ํ•˜๊ฒŒ ๋œ๋‹ค๋Š” ์ . (3)๋‹ค๋ฅธ ๊ฒŒ์ž„ ์ฐธ๊ฐ€์ž๋ฅผ ์ฃฝ์ด์ง€ ์•Š์œผ๋ฉด ์ž์‹ ์ด ์ฃฝ๊ฒŒ ๋œ๋‹ค๋Š” ์ , (4)๊ธฐ๋ณธ์ ์ธ ๋„๊ตฌ๊ฐ€ ์ œ๊ณต๋œ๋‹ค๋Š” ์  ๋“ฑ์€ ๋‘˜์˜ ๊ณตํ†ต์ ์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.

ํ•˜์ง€๋งŒ, ์˜ํ™” ํ—๊ฑฐ๊ฒŒ์ž„ ์‹œ๋ฆฌ์ฆˆ์—์„œ ์ด๋Ÿฌํ•œ ์‚ด์ธ ๋˜๋Š” ์ƒ์กด๊ฒŒ์ž„ ๋ณด๋‹ค ์ค‘์š”ํ•œ ๊ฒƒ์€ ๋ฐ”๋กœ ํ—ค๊ฒŒ๋ชจ๋‹ˆ(hegemony), ๋˜๋Š” ์ฃผ๋„๊ถŒ์„ ์žก๊ธฐ์œ„ํ•œ ์‹ธ์›€์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.

ํŒฌ์•”(Panem)์˜ Capitol์—์„œ๋Š” ์ž์‹ ๋“ค์ด ์˜๋„ํ•˜๋Š” ๋Œ€๋กœ ํŒ์„ ๋งŒ๋“ค ์ˆ˜ ์žˆ๊ณ , ์ด๋ฅผ ํ†ตํ•ด ๋Œ€์ค‘์„ ๋” ์ž˜ ํ†ต์ œํ•  ์ˆ˜ ์žˆ์„ ๊ฑฐ๋ผ ์ƒ๊ฐํ–ˆ์ง€๋งŒ ์˜ˆ์ƒ ์™ธ๋กœ ์บฃ๋‹ˆ์Šค(Jennifer Lawrence as Katniss Everdeen)์˜ ์กด์žฌ๊ฐ์ด ๋Œ€์ค‘๋“ค์˜ ๋งˆ์Œ์„ ์‚ฌ๋กœ์žก์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.

์ด๋Ÿฌ๋ฉด์„œ ์ •๋ถ€์™€ ์บฃ๋‹ˆ์Šค์˜ ์ฃผ๋„๊ถŒ ์‹ธ์›€์ด ์‹œ์ž‘๋˜์ฃ . 1ํŽธ์—์„œ ๋Œ€์ค‘์—๊ฒŒ ํฌ๋ง์ด๋ผ๋Š” ๊ฒƒ์„ ์‹ฌ์–ด ์ค€ ์บฃ๋‹ˆ์Šค. ํ˜„์‹ค์˜ ๋…์žฌ ์ •๊ถŒ์ด๋ผ๋ฉด ๋‚ฉ์น˜ ํ›„ ์‹ค์ข… ๋˜๋Š” ์‚ฌ๋ž‘์˜ ๋„ํ”ผ๋กœ ์ฒ˜๋ฆฌ๋ฅผ ํ–ˆ๊ฒ ์ง€๋งŒ, ์˜ํ™”์—์„œ๋Š” 2ํŽธ์—์„œ ๋˜ ํ•œ๋ฒˆ์˜ ํ—๊ฑฐ๊ฒŒ์ž„์ด๋ผ๋Š” ๋ชจํ—˜์„ ํƒํ•˜๋ฉฐ ๋‹ค์‹œ ํ•œ๋ฒˆ ์บฃ๋‹ˆ์Šค์™€ ์ฃผ๋„๊ถŒ ์‹ธ์›€์„ ๋ฒŒ์ด๊ฒŒ ๋ฉ๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.

The Hunger Games
Directed by: Gary Ross
Produced by: Nina Jacobson, Jon Kilik
Based on: The Hunger Games by Suzanne Collins
Starring: Jennifer Lawrence, Josh Hutcherson, Liam Hemsworth
Production company: Color Force
Distributed by: Lionsgate Films
Release date: March 12, 2012 (Los Angeles premiere), March 23, 2012 (United States)
Running time: 142 minutes
Country: United States
Language: English
Budget: $78 million

The Hunger Games: Catching Fire
Directed by: Francis Lawrence
Produced by: Nina Jacobson, Jon Kilik
Based on: Catching Fire by Suzanne Collins
Starring: Jennifer Lawrence, Josh Hutcherson, Liam Hemsworth
Production company: Color Force
Distributed by: Lionsgate Films
Release date: November 11, 2013 (London premiere), November 22, 2013 (United States)
Running time: 146 minutes
Country: United States
Language: English
Budget: $130–140 million



May 04, 2018

๋‹ค์šด์‚ฌ์ด์ง•

๋‹ค์šด์‚ฌ์ด์ง• (Downsizing)

์ธ๊ตฌ๊ณผ์ž‰. ์‹๋Ÿ‰ ๋“ฑ ์ž์›๋ถ€์กฑ๊ณผ ํ™˜๊ฒฝ์˜ค์—ผ์— ๋Œ€ํ•œ ํ•ด๊ฒฐ์ฑ…์œผ๋กœ ๊ฐœ๋ฐœํ•ด ๋‚ธ ์•ฝ 2,744 ๋Œ€ 1๋กœ ์„ธํฌ๋ฅผ ์ถ•์†Œํ•˜๋Š” ๊ธฐ์ˆ .

๊ฐ™์ด ์ธ๊ฐ„์ด ์ถ•์†Œ๋˜๋Š” ์†Œ์žฌ์ด์ง€๋งŒ ์•คํŠธ๋งจ๊ณผ๋Š” ๋˜ ๋‹ค๋ฅธ ์ƒ์ƒ๋ ฅ์ด ๋‹๋ณด์ด๋Š” ์˜ํ™”์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.

์ธ๊ฐ„์˜ ์ถ•์†Œ. ์•คํŠธ๋งจ๊ณผ ๋‹ฌ๋ฆฌ ๋‹ค์šด์‚ฌ์ด์ง•์—์„œ๋Š” ์ถ•์†Œ๋ผ๋Š” ํ•œ ๋ฐฉํ–ฅ๋งŒ ๊ฐ€๋Šฅํ•ฉ๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ๋Œ์•„์˜ฌ ์ˆ˜ ์—†๋Š” ๊ธธ. ๋ชจ๋“  ์‚ฌ๋žŒ์ด ๊ฐ™์ด ์ถ•์†Œ๋˜๋Š” ๊ฒƒ์ด ์•„๋‹Œ ๊ฐ์ž๊ฐ€ ์„ ํƒํ•  ์ˆ˜ ์žˆ๋Š” ์ถ•์†Œ์˜ ๊ธธ. ์ผ๋ฐ˜์ธ๊ณผ ์ถ•์†Œ๋ฅผ ์„ ํƒํ•œ ์‚ฌ๋žŒ๊ณผ ๊ฐ™์ด ์ง€๋‚ด๊ฒŒ ๋˜๋ฉด ์—ฌ๋Ÿฌ๊ฐ€์ง€ ๋ฌธ์ œ๊ฐ€ ๋ฐœ์ƒ๋  ์ˆ˜ ์žˆ์ฃ .

์‚ฌ์‹ค ์˜ํ™”๋ฅผ ๋ณด๊ธฐ ์ „์—๋Š” ๊ทธ๋Ÿฐ ์—ํ”ผ์†Œ๋“œ๋“ค๋กœ ๋งŒ๋“ค์–ด์ง„ ์ฝ”๋ฏนํ•œ ์˜ํ™”์ผ๊ฑฐ๋ผ๊ณ  ์ƒ๊ฐํ–ˆ์—ˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ํ•˜์ง€๋งŒ, ์˜ˆ์ƒ๊ณผ๋Š” ๋งŽ์ด ๋‹ค๋ฅธ ์Šคํƒ€์ผ์˜ ์˜ํ™”์˜€์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ๊ทธ๋ ‡๋‹ค๊ณ , ์•„์ฃผ ๋ฌด๊ฑฐ์šด ์˜ํ™”๊นŒ์ง€๋Š” ์•„๋‹ˆ์—ˆ์ง€๋งŒ.

ํ™˜๊ฒฝ๊ณผ ์ฐจ๋ณ„. ๋‘ ๊ฐ€์ง€ ์‚ฌํšŒ์  ์ด์Šˆ๋ฅผ ๋„ˆ๋ฌด ๊ฐ€๋ณ์ง€๋„, ๋„ˆ๋ฌด ๋ฌด๊ฒ์ง€๋„ ์•Š๊ฒŒ ๋‹ค๋ฃจ๊ณ  ์žˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.

Directed by: Alexander Payne
Produced by: Mark Johnson, Alexander Payne, Jim Taylor
Written by: Alexander Payne, Jim Taylor
Starring: Matt Damon, Christoph Waltz, Hong Chau
Production company: Ad Hominem Enterprises
Distributed by: Paramount Pictures
Release date: April 30, 2017 (Venice), December 22, 2017 (United States)
Running time: 135 minutes
Country: United States
Language: English
Budget: $68 million


May 03, 2018

ํ”ผ์น˜ ํผํŽ™ํŠธ 3

ํ”ผ์น˜ ํผํŽ™ํŠธ 3 (Pitch Perfect 3)

์•„์นดํŽ ๋ผ ๋™์•„๋ฆฌ์˜€๋˜ ๋ฒจ๋ผ์Šค(The Barden Bellas). ์‹œ๊ฐ„์ด ํ˜๋Ÿฌ์„œ ๋ฉค๋ฒ„๋“ค ์•ž์— ์žˆ๋Š” ๊ฑด ๋”์ด์ƒ ๊ทธ๋“ค์ด ํ•™์ƒ์ด ์•„๋‹ˆ๋ผ๋Š” ์ž์‹ ๋“ค์˜ ๋‚˜์ด. ๊ทธ๋ฆฌ๊ณ  ์ทจ๋ฏธ์ƒํ™œ์€ ๋’ค๋กœ ๋ฏธ๋ฃฐ ์ˆ˜๋ฐ–์— ์—†๋Š” ๊ฐ์ž์˜ ๋ฐ”์œ ์ผ์ƒ์ƒํ™œ. ํ•˜์ง€๋งŒ, ๊ทธ๋Ÿด์ˆ˜๋ก ๊ทธ๋ฆฌ์›Œ์ง€๋Š” ๋ฒจ๋ผ์Šค ์‹œ์ ˆ. ์˜› ๋ฉค๋ฒ„๋“ค์€ ํ•ด์™ธ์ฃผ๋‘” ๋ฏธ๊ตฐ๋“ค์„ ์œ„ํ•œ ์œ„๋ฌธ๊ณต์—ฐ์„ ์œ„ํ•ด ๋‹ค์‹œ ๋ญ‰์นฉ๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.

๊ฐ€์กฑ๊ฐ™์€ ์ข‹์€ ํŒ€. ํŒ€์„ ์•ž์„ธ์šฐ๋Š” ๊ทธ๋“ค. ๋‹ค์‹œ ๋ญ‰์นœ ๊ทธ๋“ค์€ ๋˜ ๋‹ค๋ฅธ ๊ณ ๋ฏผ์„ ํ•˜๊ฒŒ ๋˜์ฃ . ๋‹ค๋ฅธ ๊ทธ๋ฃน๋ณด๋‹ค ๋ฐ€๋ฆฌ๋Š” ๋“ฏํ•˜๋‹ค ๋ณด๋‹ˆ ๊ทธ๋“ค๋„ ์•…๊ธฐ๋ฅผ ์‚ฌ์šฉํ•ด์•ผ ํ•˜๋Š” ๊ฒƒ ์•„๋‹ˆ๋ƒ๋Š” ์˜๊ฒฌ. ์ข‹๊ฒŒ ๋ณด๋ฉด (์ƒˆ๋กญ์ง€๋Š” ์•Š์ง€๋งŒ ๊ทธ๋“ค์—๊ฒŒ๋Š”) ์ƒˆ๋กœ์šด ๊ธฐ์ˆ ์„ ๋ฐ›์•„๋“ค์ด๋Š” ๊ฒƒ์ด์ง€๋งŒ, ๋‹ค๋ฅธ ์‹œ๊ฐ์œผ๋กœ ๋ณด๋ฉด ๊ทธ๋“ค์˜ ์ƒ‰๊น”์„ ์žƒ์–ด๋ฒ„๋ฆฌ๋Š” ์„ ํƒ์ด๊ธฐ๋„ ํ•˜์ฃ .

๊ทธ๋ฆฌ๊ณ , ๋ฒ ์นด(Anna Kendrick as Beca Mitchell)์—๊ฒŒ ์ฃผ์–ด์ง„ ๋˜๋‹ค๋ฅธ ์„ ํƒ์˜ ์ˆœ๊ฐ„.

์ข‹์€ ํŒ€์ด๋ž€ ํŒ€์œผ๋กœ ๋ชจ์˜€์„ ๋•Œ ๊ฐœ๊ฐœ์ธ์˜ ์—ญ๋Ÿ‰์„ ๋›ฐ์–ด๋„˜์„ ์ˆ˜ ์žˆ๊ฒŒ ํ•ฉ๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ํ”ํžˆ ์ด์•ผ๊ธฐํ•˜๋Š” ์‹œ๋„ˆ์ง€์ด์ฃ . ํ•˜์ง€๋งŒ ๋™์‹œ์— ํŒ€์ด๋ผ๋Š” ์šธํƒ€๋ฆฌ์—์„œ ๊ฐœ๊ฐœ์ธ์˜ ๋ฐœ์ „์ด ํ•œ๊ณ„์— ๋ถ€๋”ซํ˜”์„ ๋•Œ์—๋Š” ๋†“์•„์ค„ ์ˆ˜๋„ ์žˆ์–ด์•ผ ํ•ฉ๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.

Directed by: Trish Sie
Produced by: Elizabeth Banks, Paul Brooks, Max Handelman
Screenplay by: Kay Cannon, Mike White
Story by: Kay Cannon
Starring: Anna Kendrick, Rebel Wilson, Hailee Steinfeld
Music by: Christopher Lennertz
Production company: Gold Circle Films, Brownstone Productions
Distributed by: Universal Pictures
Release date: November 30, 2017 (Sydney), December 22, 2017 (United States)
Running time: 93 minutes
Country: United States
Language: English
Budget: $45 million


Global CRE: Drivers & Disruptions

์•„๋ž˜ ๋‚ด์šฉ์€ ์œ ๋ช…ํ•œ ์™ธ๊ตญ๊ณ„ ์ž์‚ฐ์šด์šฉ์‚ฌ์ธ ๋ฒ ์–ด๋ง์Šค์˜ ์—ฐ์ฐจํšŒ์˜์—์„œ ๋ฐœํ‘œ๋œ ๋‚ด์šฉ์„ ์ƒ๋‹น๋ถ€๋ถ„ ์ฐธ๊ณ ํ•˜์˜€์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ํ•˜์ง€๋งŒ, ์ €์˜ ๋ถ€์กฑํ•œ ์˜์–ด ์‹ค๋ ฅ ๋ฐ ์ •๋ฆฌ ์‹ค๋ ฅ์œผ๋กœ ์ธํ•ด ์ž˜๋ชป๋œ ๋ถ€๋ถ„์ด ์žˆ์„ ์ˆ˜๋„ ์žˆ์œผ๋ฉฐ, ๋•Œ๋กœ๋Š” ์˜๋„์ ์œผ๋กœ๋“  ๋ฌด์˜์‹์ ์œผ๋กœ๋“  ์ œ ์ƒ๊ฐ์„ ํฌํ•จ์‹œํ‚จ ๋ถ€๋ถ„๋„ ์žˆ์–ด์„œ ์›๋ž˜ ๋ฐœํ‘œ ๋‚ด์šฉ๊ณผ๋Š” ์ฐจ์ด๊ฐ€ ์žˆ์„ ์ˆ˜ ์žˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. 
 
์—ฌ๋Ÿฌ๋ฒˆ ๋ฐ˜๋ณตํ•ด์„œ ๋ง์”€๋“œ๋ฆฐ ๋ฐ”์™€ ๊ฐ™์ด ๋ณธ ๋ธ”๋กœ๊ทธ์˜ ๋ชจ๋“  ๊ธ€์€ ์ œ๊ฐ€ ์ƒ๊ฐ์„ ์ •๋ฆฌํ•˜๊ณ ์ž ์“ฐ๋Š” ๊ธ€์ด๋ฉฐ, ํˆฌ์ž์˜์‚ฌ ๊ฒฐ์ •์„ ํฌํ•จํ•œ ๊ทธ ์–ด๋–ค ์˜์‚ฌ๊ฒฐ์ • ๊ณผ์ •์—๋„ ์˜ํ–ฅ์„ ์ฃผ๊ธฐ์œ„ํ•œ ๊ธ€์ด ์•„๋‹™๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. 
 
***

Global Commercial Real Estate

III. ๊ธ€๋กœ๋ฒŒ: Drivers & Disruptions

์‚ฌ๋žŒ๋“ค์ด ์ƒ๊ฐํ•˜๋Š” Drivers(ๅ‹•ๅ› )์— ๋Œ€ํ•œ ์„ค๋ฌธ:
- ๊ธฐ์ˆ (technology)๊ณผ ์ธ๊ตฌ(demographics)๋ฅผ ๊ฐ€์žฅ ํฐ ๋™์ธ์œผ๋กœ ์‘๋‹ต

Innovation๊ณผ disruption์€ ์ธ๊ฐ„ ๋ฐœ์ „์„ ์ด๋Œ์–ด ์˜ด

Innovation
- ์ง€์† ๊ฐ€๋Šฅํ•œ ํ˜์‹ (sustaining innovation)์„ ์œ„ํ•ด์„œ๋Š” ์กด์žฌํ•˜๊ณ (existing), ๋›ฐ์–ด๋„˜๊ณ (exceeding), ์ˆ˜์ต์„ฑ์ด ์žˆ์–ด์•ผ(profitable) ํ•จ
- ๋ฐœ์ „์€ S์ž ํ˜•ํƒœ๋กœ ์ง„ํ–‰

Disruption
- ๋‹จ์ˆœํ•œ ํŒŒ๊ดด๊ฐ€ ์•„๋‹Œ ์ƒˆ๋กœ์šด ๋ฐœ์ „์„ ์œ„ํ•œ ๋ณ€ํ™”

๋‹ค์Œ๊ณผ ๊ฐ™์€ ์š”์ธ๋“ค์ด ๊ธฐ์ˆ ์ ์ธ disrupter๋กœ ์ž‘์šฉ
- ์ƒˆ๋กœ์šด ์†Œ๋น„์ž๋“ค์˜ ๋งŒ์กฑ๋„
- ์˜ˆ์ƒํ•˜๊ธฐ ํž˜๋“  ์‹œ์žฅ
- ๋” ์ €๋ ดํ•˜๊ณ  ํŽธํ•œ ์‚ฌ์šฉ๋ฒ•
- ๊ธฐ์—…๋“ค์˜ ๋งˆ์ง„ ์ถ•์†Œ

๊ฑฐ์‹œ ๊ฒฝ์ œ์— ์žˆ์–ด์„œ ๋‹ค์Œ๊ณผ ๊ฐ™์€ ํ…Œ๋งˆ ์กด์žฌ
- ์ด๋Š” driver์ธ๊ฐ€, disrupter์ธ๊ฐ€?
▪ ์ธ๊ตฌ(Demographics)
▪ ๋„์‹œํ™”(Urbanization)
▪ ์„ธ๊ณ„ํ™”(Globalization)
▪ ๊ธฐํ›„๋ณ€ํ™”(Climate Change)
▪ ๊ธฐ์ˆ (Technology)

์ธ๊ตฌ(Demographics): ์„ฑ์žฅ
- 2050๊นŒ์ง€ ๋…ธ๋™๊ฐ€๋Šฅ์ธ๊ตฌ ์˜ˆ์ƒ์„ฑ์žฅ๋ฅ 
▪ Africa (highest)
▪ Southern Asia
▪ Latin America
▪ North America
▪ Europe
▪ Eastern Asia (lowest)

๋„์‹œํ™”(Urbanization)
- ๋„์‹œํ™”์˜ ์ข…๋ฅ˜
▪ 1st Urbanization: ์‚ฐ์—…ํ™” ๊ณผ์ •
▪ Revitalization: stabilized country
- ํŠน์ง•
▪ Live, work and play
▪ Work–life balance

์ธ๊ตฌ ์„ฑ์žฅ๋ฅ ์ด ๋†’์€ ๊ตญ๊ฐ€๋Š” ์•„ํ”„๋ฆฌ์นด์™€ ๋ผํ‹ด ์•„๋ฉ”๋ฆฌ์นด
- ์ด๋“ค์€ ๋Œ€๊ฐ€์กฑ ๋ฌธํ™”๊ฐ€ ๋‚จ์•„์žˆ๋Š” ๊ตญ๊ฐ€์ด๊ธฐ๋„ ํ•จ.
- ๋„์‹œํ™”๊ฐ€ ์ด๋“ค ๊ตญ๊ฐ€์— ๋ฏธ์น˜๋Š” ์˜ํ–ฅ๊ณผ ๋ฐฉํ–ฅ์ด ์ค‘์š”

์„ธ๊ณ„ํ™” (Globalization)
- ์ƒํ˜ธ ์—ฐ๊ฒฐ(interconnected)
- ์ž๋ณธ ํ๋ฆ„(capital flow)

๊ธฐํ›„๋ณ€ํ™”(Climate Change)
- General Alternative Investment
▪ ์‹ ์žฌ์ƒ ์—๋„ˆ์ง€(renewable energy) ํˆฌ์ž
▪ ์—๋„ˆ์ง€ ํšจ์œจ ๋“ฑ๊ธ‰ ๊ณ ๋ คํ•œ ๋ถ€๋™์‚ฐ(energy efficient building) ํˆฌ์ž

๊ธฐ์ˆ (Technology)
- ์ธ๊ณต์ง€๋Šฅ(artificial intelligence)๊ณผ ์Šค๋งˆํŠธ ์‹œํ‹ฐ(smart cities)
- ๊ฐ€์ƒํ™”ํ(crypto currency)
- ์ „์ž์ƒ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜(e-commerce)
- ์ž์œจ์ฃผํ–‰์ž๋™์ฐจ(autonomous cars)

Driver์ธ์ง€ disrupter์ธ์ง€ ์•Œ ์ˆ˜ ์—†์ง€๋งŒ, ์–ด๋–ป๊ฒŒ ์›€์ง์ด๋Š”์ง€ ์ดํ•ดํ•  ์ˆ˜ ์žˆ์–ด์•ผ ํ•จ
- “You can’t know, but you should understand.”



Global CRE: ์œ ๋Ÿฝ

์•„๋ž˜ ๋‚ด์šฉ์€ ์œ ๋ช…ํ•œ ์™ธ๊ตญ๊ณ„ ์ž์‚ฐ์šด์šฉ์‚ฌ์ธ ๋ฒ ์–ด๋ง์Šค์˜ ์—ฐ์ฐจํšŒ์˜์—์„œ ๋ฐœํ‘œ๋œ ๋‚ด์šฉ์„ ์ƒ๋‹น๋ถ€๋ถ„ ์ฐธ๊ณ ํ•˜์˜€์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ํ•˜์ง€๋งŒ, ์ €์˜ ๋ถ€์กฑํ•œ ์˜์–ด ์‹ค๋ ฅ ๋ฐ ์ •๋ฆฌ ์‹ค๋ ฅ์œผ๋กœ ์ธํ•ด ์ž˜๋ชป๋œ ๋ถ€๋ถ„์ด ์žˆ์„ ์ˆ˜๋„ ์žˆ์œผ๋ฉฐ, ๋•Œ๋กœ๋Š” ์˜๋„์ ์œผ๋กœ๋“  ๋ฌด์˜์‹์ ์œผ๋กœ๋“  ์ œ ์ƒ๊ฐ์„ ํฌํ•จ์‹œํ‚จ ๋ถ€๋ถ„๋„ ์žˆ์–ด์„œ ์›๋ž˜ ๋ฐœํ‘œ ๋‚ด์šฉ๊ณผ๋Š” ์ฐจ์ด๊ฐ€ ์žˆ์„ ์ˆ˜ ์žˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.

์—ฌ๋Ÿฌ๋ฒˆ ๋ฐ˜๋ณตํ•ด์„œ ๋ง์”€๋“œ๋ฆฐ ๋ฐ”์™€ ๊ฐ™์ด ๋ณธ ๋ธ”๋กœ๊ทธ์˜ ๋ชจ๋“  ๊ธ€์€ ์ œ๊ฐ€ ์ƒ๊ฐ์„ ์ •๋ฆฌํ•˜๊ณ ์ž ์“ฐ๋Š” ๊ธ€์ด๋ฉฐ, ํˆฌ์ž์˜์‚ฌ ๊ฒฐ์ •์„ ํฌํ•จํ•œ ๊ทธ ์–ด๋–ค ์˜์‚ฌ๊ฒฐ์ • ๊ณผ์ •์—๋„ ์˜ํ–ฅ์„ ์ฃผ๊ธฐ์œ„ํ•œ ๊ธ€์ด ์•„๋‹™๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.

***

Global Commercial Real Estate

II. ์œ ๋Ÿฝ: ํšŒ๋ณต

์œ ๋Ÿฝ ์‹œ์žฅ์— ์ฃผ๋ชฉํ•ด์•ผ ํ• ๋งŒํ•œ ์ง€ํ‘œ → ์ „๋ฐ˜์ ์œผ๋กœ ์–‘ํ˜ธ
- GDP Growth
- Unemployment
- Interest Rate

์œ ๋Ÿฝ ์ „๋ฐ˜์— ๊ฑธ์ณ ๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ ๋ชจ๋ฉ˜ํ…€ ์–‘ํ˜ธ (Economic momentum across Europe)
- ์ง€์† ๊ฐ€๋Šฅํ•œ ์„ฑ์žฅ ๊ธฐ๋Œ€

์šฐํ˜ธ์ ์ธ ํ†ตํ™” ์ •์ฑ… (accommodative monetary policy)

Office
- ์„ฑ์žฅํ•˜๊ณ  ์žˆ๋Š” Tier 2 ๋„์‹œ์˜ prime CBD ์ง€์—ญ ์ข‹์Œ
▪ ํŒŒ๋ฆฌ์˜ ๊ฒฝ์šฐ ๊ณต์‹ค๋ฅ ์ด ์‚ฌ์‹ค์ƒ 0% (basically zero)

Retail
- ๊ฒฝ์Ÿ์ด ์ƒ๋Œ€์ ์œผ๋กœ ์ ์€ ๋ฌผ๊ฑด ์œ„์ฃผ
▪ Regional ๋ฐ sub regional ์‡ผํ•‘์„ผํ„ฐ ๋“ฑ

Logistics
- ์œ„์น˜ ์ค‘์š”
- ๊ธฐ์ˆ  ๋ฐœ๋‹ฌ์— ๋”ฐ๋ฅธ ์˜ํ–ฅ ์ค‘์š”

์ „๋žต: Repositioning
- ๋Œ€์ˆ˜์„ (refurbishment): ์ž์‚ฐ ์—…๊ทธ๋ ˆ์ด๋“œ
- Lease up: ๊ณต์‹ค์ด ์žˆ๋Š” ์ž์‚ฐ ๋Œ€์ƒ
- ๊ฐœ์„ (Improvement): ์ž„์ฐจ์ธ ๊ตฌ์„ฑ(tenants mix)

์ง€์—ญ: ๋„์‹ฌ ๋ฐ ๋„์‹œ์˜ ํ™•๋Œ€ ํ˜„์ƒ
- CBD ๊ฐ€๊นŒ์šด fringe ์ง€์—ญ์˜ CBD ๅŒ–
- Fringe ๊ฐ€๊นŒ์šด suburban ์ง€์—ญ์˜ fringe ๅŒ–


Global CRE: ๋ฏธ๊ตญ๊ณผ Property Clock

์•„๋ž˜ ๋‚ด์šฉ์€ ์œ ๋ช…ํ•œ ์™ธ๊ตญ๊ณ„ ์ž์‚ฐ์šด์šฉ์‚ฌ์ธ ๋ฒ ์–ด๋ง์Šค์˜ ์—ฐ์ฐจํšŒ์˜์—์„œ ๋ฐœํ‘œ๋œ ๋‚ด์šฉ์„ ์ƒ๋‹น๋ถ€๋ถ„ ์ฐธ๊ณ ํ•˜์˜€์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ํ•˜์ง€๋งŒ, ์ €์˜ ๋ถ€์กฑํ•œ ์˜์–ด ์‹ค๋ ฅ ๋ฐ ์ •๋ฆฌ ์‹ค๋ ฅ์œผ๋กœ ์ธํ•ด ์ž˜๋ชป๋œ ๋ถ€๋ถ„์ด ์žˆ์„ ์ˆ˜๋„ ์žˆ์œผ๋ฉฐ, ๋•Œ๋กœ๋Š” ์˜๋„์ ์œผ๋กœ๋“  ๋ฌด์˜์‹์ ์œผ๋กœ๋“  ์ œ ์ƒ๊ฐ์„ ํฌํ•จ์‹œํ‚จ ๋ถ€๋ถ„๋„ ์žˆ์–ด์„œ ์›๋ž˜ ๋ฐœํ‘œ ๋‚ด์šฉ๊ณผ๋Š” ์ฐจ์ด๊ฐ€ ์žˆ์„ ์ˆ˜ ์žˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.

์—ฌ๋Ÿฌ๋ฒˆ ๋ฐ˜๋ณตํ•ด์„œ ๋ง์”€๋“œ๋ฆฐ ๋ฐ”์™€ ๊ฐ™์ด ๋ณธ ๋ธ”๋กœ๊ทธ์˜ ๋ชจ๋“  ๊ธ€์€ ์ œ๊ฐ€ ์ƒ๊ฐ์„ ์ •๋ฆฌํ•˜๊ณ ์ž ์“ฐ๋Š” ๊ธ€์ด๋ฉฐ, ํˆฌ์ž์˜์‚ฌ ๊ฒฐ์ •์„ ํฌํ•จํ•œ ๊ทธ ์–ด๋–ค ์˜์‚ฌ๊ฒฐ์ • ๊ณผ์ •์—๋„ ์˜ํ–ฅ์„ ์ฃผ๊ธฐ์œ„ํ•œ ๊ธ€์ด ์•„๋‹™๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.

***

Global Commercial Real Estate

I. ๋ฏธ๊ตญ: Property Clock

I-1. Property Clock๊ณผ ํˆฌ์ž ์ „๋žต

Property Clock์€ ์‹œ๊ณ„์ฒ˜๋Ÿผ ์ˆœ์ฐจ์ ์œผ๋กœ ํ๋ฅด๋Š” ๊ฒƒ์ด ์•„๋‹ˆ๋ผ ๋•Œ๋กœ๋Š” ๊ฑด๋„ˆ๋›ฐ๊ฑฐ๋‚˜, ๋•Œ๋กœ๋Š” ๋’ค๋กœ ๊ฐˆ ์ˆ˜๋„ ์žˆ์Œ
- ๋ฏธ๋ž˜์— ์–ด๋””๋กœ ๊ฐ€๋А๋ƒ๊ฐ€ ์•„๋‹ˆ๋ผ, ์ง€๊ธˆ ์‹œ์ ์—์„œ ์–ด๋–ป๊ฒŒ ๋Œ€์‘ํ•˜๋ƒ๊ฐ€ ์ค‘์š”



May 02, 2018

US CRE: Multifamily 1. ์š”์•ฝ

US CRE: Multifamily
I. ์š”์•ฝ

๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ์— ๋Œ€ํ•œ ๋ถ€๋‹ด์ด ์žˆ์–ด์„œ, equity ํˆฌ์ž ๋ณด๋‹ค๋Š” debt ์œ„์ฃผ์˜ ์ ‘๊ทผ ํ•„์š”
๊ณต๊ธ‰ ์ฆ๊ฐ€ ๋ฐ cap rate ์ฆ๊ฐ€์— ๋Œ€ํ•œ ์šฐ๋ ค ๋“ฑ์œผ๋กœ ์ธํ•ด debt์— ๋Œ€ํ•œ ํˆฌ์ž๋„ ์‹œ์žฅ ๋ฐ ๋Œ€์ƒ์ž์‚ฐ์„ ๊ณ ๋ คํ•˜์—ฌ ์„ ๋ณ„์ ์œผ๋กœ ์ทจ๊ธ‰ ํ•„์š”


์–ด๋ฒค์ ธ์Šค 4์— ๋Œ€ํ•œ ์˜ˆ์ƒ


์–ด๋ฒค์ ธ์Šค 4์— ๋Œ€ํ•œ ์˜ˆ์ƒ ๋˜๋Š” ์ถ”์ธก

์–ด๋ฒค์ ธ์Šค: ์ธํ”ผ๋‹ˆํ‹ฐ ์›Œ๊ฐ€ ๊ทธ ๋ชจ์Šต์„ ๋“œ๋Ÿฌ๋ƒˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ๊ฑฐ์น  ๊ฒƒ ์—†๋Š” ํฅํ–‰ ์งˆ์ฃผ. ๋งŽ์€ ํฅํ–‰ ๊ธฐ๋ก๋“ค์„ ๊ฐˆ์•„์น˜์šธ ๊ฒƒ์œผ๋กœ ์˜ˆ์ƒ๋˜๋ฉด์„œ, ํ›„์†ํŽธ์— ๋Œ€ํ•œ ์˜ˆ์ƒ์ด๋‚˜ ์ถ”์ธก๋„ ์ด์–ด์ง‘๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.

ํƒ€์ž„์Šคํ†ค (Time Stone)

๊ฐ€์žฅ ์‰ฝ๊ฒŒ ์ƒ๊ฐํ•˜๋Š” ๊ฑด ํƒ€์ž„์Šคํ†ค์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ๋” ์ด์ƒ ์ง„ํ–‰์ด ์–ด๋ ค์šธ ์ •๋„๋กœ ๋ฒŒ๋ ค๋†“์€ ์ƒํ™ฉ์„ ์ˆ˜์Šตํ•˜๊ธฐ ์œ„ํ•ด์„œ๋Š” ํƒ€์ž„์Šคํ†ค์„ ์ด์šฉํ•ด ์‹œ๊ฐ„์„ ๋˜๋Œ๋ฆฌ๋Š” ๋ฐฉ๋ฒ•์ด ์žˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.

๋‹ฅํ„ฐ ์ŠคํŠธ๋ ˆ์ธ์ง€(Doctor Strange, 2016)์—์„œ ๋‹ฅํ„ฐ ์ŠคํŠธ๋ ˆ์ธ์ง€๊ฐ€ ๋„๋ฅด๋งˆ๋ฌด(Dormammu)๋ฅผ ์ƒ๋Œ€ํ•  ๋•Œ์ฒ˜๋Ÿผ  ๋ฐ˜๋ณต๋˜๋Š” ์‹œ๊ฐ„(time loop)์œผ๋กœ ์ƒ๋Œ€๋ฐฉ์„ ์งˆ๋ฆฌ๊ฒŒ ๋งŒ๋“œ๋Š” ๋ฐฉ๋ฒ•์ด์ฃ . ํ•˜์ง€๋งŒ, ์ด๋Š” ๋‹ค๋ฅธ ์‚ฌ๋žŒ์ด ์•„๋‹Œ ํƒ€์ž„์Šคํ†ค์˜ ์‹œ์ „์ž๋งŒ์œผ๋กœ ํ•ด๊ฒฐํ•  ์ˆ˜ ์žˆ์„ ๋•Œ ์œ ์šฉํ•ฉ๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.

๋‹ค๋ฅธ ์‚ฌ๋žŒ์— ๊ธฐ๋Œ€์•ผ ํ•œ๋‹ค๋ฉด, 14๋ฐฑ๋งŒ๋ถ„์˜ 1์ด ์•ˆ๋˜๋Š” ํ™•๋ฅ . ์šด์ด ์ข‹์œผ๋ฉด ์ฒซ๋ฒˆ์งธ๋กœ ๋๋‚  ์ˆ˜๋„ ์žˆ์ง€๋งŒ, ๋ช‡๋ฐฑ๋งŒ๋ฒˆ์„ ๋˜๋Œ๋ ค์•ผ ํ•  ์ˆ˜๋„ ์žˆ๊ธฐ์— ๋‹ค๋ฅธ ์‚ฌ๋žŒ์— ๊ธฐ๋Œ€๊ธฐ ์–ด๋ ต์ฃ .

๊ทธ๋ฆฌ๊ณ , ํƒ€์ž„์Šคํ†ค์„ ๋˜์ฐพ์•„ ์™€์•ผ ํ•˜๋Š” ๊ณผ์ •์ด ํ•„์š”ํ•ฉ๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.

์‹œ๊ฐ„์—ฌํ–‰

๊ณผ๊ฑฐ๋กœ ๋Œ์•„๊ฐ„๋‹ค๋Š” ์ ์—์„œ๋Š” ๋น„์Šทํ•˜์ง€๋งŒ, ํƒ€์ž„์Šคํ†ค์œผ๋กœ ์‹œ๊ฐ„์„ ๋˜๋Œ๋ฆฌ๋Š” ๊ฒƒ๊ณผ์˜ ์ฐจ์ด์ ์€ ํƒ€์ž„์Šคํ†ค์€ ์‹œ๊ฐ„์„ ๋˜๋Œ๋ฆฌ๋Š” ๊ฒƒ์ด๊ธฐ์— ๊ณผ๊ฑฐ๋กœ ๋Œ์•„๊ฐ”์„ ๋•Œ ํ˜„์žฌ์— ์žˆ๋˜ ์‚ฌ๋žŒ๊ณผ ๊ณผ๊ฑฐ์˜ ์‚ฌ๋žŒ์ด ๊ณต์กดํ•˜์ง€๋Š” ์•Š์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ํ•˜์ง€๋งŒ, ์‹œ๊ฐ„์—ฌํ–‰์€ ํ˜„์žฌ ์‚ฌ๋žŒ์ด ๊ณผ๊ฑฐ๋กœ ๋„˜์–ด๊ฐ€์„œ ๊ณผ๊ฑฐ๋ฅผ ๋ฐ”๊พธ๋Š” ๊ฒƒ์ด๋ฉฐ, ๊ทธ๋ฅผ ํ†ตํ•ด ๊ทธ ์‚ฌ๋žŒ์ด ๋Œ์•„์˜จ ํ˜„์žฌ์™€ ๋ฏธ๋ž˜๊ฐ€ ๋ฐ”๋€Œ๊ฒŒ ๋ฉ๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.

๊ณ ์ „ ์˜ํ™” ๋ฐฑ ํˆฌ ๋” ํ“จ์ฒ˜(Back to the Future, 1985)์—์„œ ์ฒ˜๋Ÿผ ํƒ€์ž„๋จธ์‹ ์ด๋ผ๋Š” ๊ณผํ•™ ๊ธฐ์ˆ ์„ ์ด์šฉํ•˜๋Š” ๋ฐฉ๋ฒ•๊ณผ ์—‘์Šค๋งจ: ๋ฐ์ด์ฆˆ ์˜ค๋ธŒ ํ“จ์ฒ˜ ํŒจ์ŠคํŠธ(X-Men: Days of Future Past, 2014)์—์„œ ์šธ๋ฒ„๋ฆฐ(Wolverine)์„ ๊ณผ๊ฑฐ๋กœ ๋ณด๋‚ธ Kitty Pryde์™€ ๊ฐ™์ด ๋Šฅ๋ ฅ์ž์˜ ํŠน์ˆ˜ํ•œ ๋Šฅ๋ ฅ์„ ์ด์šฉํ•˜๋Š” ๋ฐฉ๋ฒ•์ด ์žˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.

๊ฐœ๋ด‰์„ ์•ž๋‘” ์•คํŠธ๋งจ๊ณผ ์™€์Šคํ”„(Ant-Man and the Wasp, 2018)์—์„œ ์–ด๋ฒค์ ธ์Šค: ์ธํ”ผ๋‹ˆํ‹ฐ ์›Œ(Avengers: Infinity War) ์ดํ›„๋ฅผ ๋‹ด๋Š”๋‹ค๋ฉด ๊ณผํ•™ ๊ธฐ์ˆ ์„ ์ด์šฉํ•  ๊ฐ€๋Šฅ์„ฑ์ด ๋†’์•„ ๋ณด์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. 

๋ฐ˜๋ฉด, ๋””์ฆˆ๋‹ˆ์˜ ํญ์Šค(20th Century Fox) ์ธ์ˆ˜๋กœ ๊ฐ€๋Šฅํ•ด์ง„ X-men์˜ Avengers ์ฐธ์—ฌ๋ฅผ ๊ธฐ๋Œ€ํ•˜๋Š” ์‚ฌ๋žŒ๋“ค์€ X-men์˜ ๋Šฅ๋ ฅ์œผ๋กœ ๊ณผ๊ฑฐ๋กœ ๋Œ์•„๊ฐ€๋Š” ๊ฒƒ์„ ์˜ˆ์ƒํ•˜๊ธฐ๋„ ํ•ฉ๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.

์‹œ๊ฐ„๊ณผ ๊ด€๋ จ๋˜์–ด ์žˆ์œผ๋‹ˆ, ํƒ€์ž„์Šคํ†ค์˜ ๋˜๋‹ค๋ฅธ ๋Šฅ๋ ฅ์ด๋ผ๋ฉฐ ๊ทธ๋Ÿฐ ๊ธฐ๋Šฅ์„ ์–ผ๋งˆ๋“ ์ง€ ์ถ”๊ฐ€ํ•  ์ˆ˜๋„ ์žˆ๊ฒ ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค๋งŒ, ์–ด์จ‹๋“  ํƒ€์ž„์Šคํ†ค์„ ์ด์šฉํ•˜๊ธฐ ์œ„ํ•ด์„œ๋Š” ์—ญ์‹œ ํ˜„์žฌ ์†Œ์œ ์ฃผํ•œํ…Œ์„œ ๋˜์ฐพ์•„์™€์•ผ ํ•˜๋Š” ๊ณผ์ •์ด ํ•„์š”ํ•ฉ๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.

๋ฉ€ํ‹ฐ ์œ ๋‹ˆ๋ฒ„์Šค

๋งˆ๋ธ”์ด๋‚˜ DC๋‚˜ ๋งŒํ™” ์† ์„ธ๊ณ„๊ด€์€ ๊ธฐ๋ณธ์ ์œผ๋กœ ๋ฉ€ํ‹ฐ ์œ ๋‹ˆ๋ฒ„์Šค์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. TV์‹œ๋ฆฌ์ฆˆ ์ค‘์—์„œ๋„ DC์˜ ํ”Œ๋ž˜์‰ฌ ์‹œ์ฆŒ 2(The Flash Season 2, 2015-16))์—์„œ๋Š” ์ง€๊ตฌ1(Earth One)๊ณผ ์ง€๊ตฌ2(Earth Two)๋ฅผ ๋„˜๋‚˜๋“œ๋Š” ๋ฉ€ํ‹ฐ ์œ ๋‹ˆ๋ฒ„์Šค ๊ฐœ๋…์ด ์ค‘์š”ํ•œ ๋น„์ค‘์„ ์ฐจ์ง€ํ•˜๊ธฐ๋„ ํ•ฉ๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ๊ทธ๋ ‡์ง€ ์•Š๋”๋ผ๋„ DC๋Š” ์„œ๋กœ์˜ ์„ธ๊ณ„๊ด€์ด ๋‹ค๋ฅธ ํžˆ์–ด๋กœ๋“ค์„ ํ•œ ํ™”๋ฉด์— ์ผ์‹œ์ ์œผ๋กœ ๋ชจ์„ ๋•Œ๋„ ์œ ์šฉํ•˜๊ฒŒ ์‚ฌ์šฉํ•˜์ฃ .

๋ฉ€ํ‹ฐ ์œ ๋‹ˆ๋ฒ„์Šค์˜ ๋„์ž…์€ ํ˜„์žฌ์˜ ๋‹จ์ผ ์„ธ๊ณ„๊ด€์ด ํ•œ๊ณ„์— ๋„๋‹ฌํ–ˆ์„ ๋•Œ ์œ ์šฉํ•˜๊ฒŒ ์‚ฌ์šฉํ•  ์ˆ˜ ์žˆ๋Š” ์„ธ๊ณ„๊ด€์œผ๋กœ ๋ฉ€ํ‹ฐ ์œ ๋‹ˆ๋ฒ„์Šค๋Š” ์ตœ์ดˆ ์„ค์ •๋ถ€ํ„ฐ ์šฐ์ฃผ๊ฐ€ ๊ทธ๋ ‡๊ฒŒ ๊ตฌ์„ฑ๋˜์–ด ์žˆ์—ˆ๋‹ค๊ณ  ๋งŒ๋“ค ์ˆ˜๋„ ์žˆ๊ณ , ์‹œ๊ฐ„์—ฌํ–‰๊ณผ ํ‰ํ–‰ ์šฐ์ฃผ๋ก ์„ ๊ฒฐํ•ฉํ•ด์„œ ์‹œ๊ฐ„์—ฌํ–‰ ์ค‘ ์„ธ๊ณ„๊ด€์„ ๋ฉ€ํ‹ฐ ์œ ๋‹ˆ๋ฒ„์Šค๋กœ ํ™•์žฅ์‹œํ‚ค๊ธฐ๋„ ํ•ฉ๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.

์–ด๋А ๋ฐฉํ–ฅ์ด๋“  ๋ฉ€ํ‹ฐ ์œ ๋‹ˆ๋ฒ„์Šค๋Š” ์œ ์šฉํ•œ ์ˆ˜๋‹จ์ด๊ธฐ์— ์ธํ”ผ๋‹ˆํ‹ฐ ์›Œ์—์„œ ๋ฒŒ๋ ค๋†“์€ ์ผ์„ ์ˆ˜์Šตํ•˜๊ธฐ์— ๋ฉ€ํ‹ฐ ์œ ๋‹ˆ๋ฒ„์Šค๋ฅผ ๋„์ž…ํ•  ๊ฑฐ๋ผ๋Š” ์˜ˆ์ƒ๋“ค์ด ์žˆ์ฃ . ์ด๋ฏธ ๋งˆ๋ธ”์˜ ์˜ํ™” ์† ์„ธ๊ณ„๊ด€(MCU)์—์„œ๋„ ๋ฉ€ํ‹ฐ๋ฒ„์Šค(Multiverse)๋ผ๋Š” ํ˜•ํƒœ๋กœ ๋‹ฅํ„ฐ ์ŠคํŠธ๋ ˆ์ธ์ง€๋‚˜ ์•คํŠธ๋งจ(Ant-Man, 2015)์—์„œ ์–ธ๊ธ‰๋˜์–ด ์™”์—ˆ๊ธฐ์— 7์›” ๊ฐœ๋ด‰๋˜๋Š” ์•คํŠธ๋งจ์—์„œ ์ด์•ผ๊ธฐ๋˜์ง€ ์•Š์„๊นŒ๋ผ๋Š” ์˜๊ฒฌ๋“ค์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.

์„ธ๋Œ€๊ต์ฒด

์ด๋Š” ์‚ฌ๋ผ์ง„ ๋ฉค๋ฒ„๋“ค์„ ๋˜์‚ด๋ฆฌ๊ธฐ ๋ณด๋‹ค ์ด ์ฐธ์— ์„ธ๋Œ€ ๊ต์ฒด๋ฅผ ์ด๋ฃฐ ๊ฒƒ์ด๋ผ๋Š” ์˜ˆ์ƒ์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ๋˜์‚ด๋ฆฌ๊ฑฐ๋‚˜ ๋˜๋Œ๋ฆฌ์ง€ ์•Š๊ณ , ๊ธฐ์กด ๋ฉค๋ฒ„์™€ ์บกํ‹ด ๋งˆ๋ธ”์„ ํ•„๋‘๋กœ ํ•œ ์ƒˆ๋กœ์šด ์บ๋ฆญํ„ฐ๋“ค, ๊ทธ๋ฆฌ๊ณ  X-men๊ณผ ์–ด์ฉŒ๋ฉด ํŒํƒ€์Šคํ‹ฑ ํฌ(Fantastic Four)๋ฅผ ํˆฌ์ž…ํ•  ๊ฑฐ๋ผ๋Š” ์˜ˆ์ƒ์ด์ฃ .

ํ•˜์ง€๋งŒ, X-men์˜ ์ฐธ์—ฌ๋Š” ๊ทธ๋ ‡๊ฒŒ ๋น ๋ฅด์ง€๋Š” ์•Š์„ ๊ฒƒ์œผ๋กœ ๋ณด์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ๋””์ฆˆ๋‹ˆ์™€ ํญ์Šค์‚ฌ์˜ ํ˜‘์ƒํ•˜๊ณ  ์žˆ๋‹ค๋Š” ์ด์œ ๋งŒ์œผ๋กœ ์˜ํ™”์— ์—‘์Šค๋งจ์„ ์ฐธ์—ฌ์‹œํ‚ค์ง€๋Š” ์•Š์•˜์„ ๊ฒƒ์ด๊ณ , ๋”œ์ด ์ข…๋ฃŒ๋˜๋Š” ๊ฒƒ์€ 2019๋…„์„ ์˜ˆ์ƒํ•˜๊ณ  ์žˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ๋˜ํ•œ ์ฐธ์—ฌ์‹œํ‚ค๋ ค๋ฉด MCU์„ ์†๋Œ€์•ผ ํ•˜๊ณ , ๋ฆฌ๋ถ€ํŒ… ์ค‘์ธ X-men ์‹œ๋ฆฌ์ฆˆ์™€์˜ ๊ด€๊ณ„๋„ ์ƒ๊ฐํ•ด์•ผ ํ•ฉ๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ๋ฌด์—‡๋ณด๋‹ค๋„ ํŒฌ๋“ค์€ ๋นจ๋ฆฌ ๋ณด๊ณ  ์‹ถ์„์ง€ ๋ชฐ๋ผ๋„ ๋””์ฆˆ๋‹ˆ๋‚˜ ๋งˆ๋ธ” ์ž…์žฅ์—์„œ๋Š” ์ด๋ฏธ ๋งŒ๋“ค์–ด์ ธ ์žˆ๋Š” ๊ณ„ํš์ด ์žˆ๊ธฐ์— ์–‘์ชฝ ์„ธ๊ณ„๊ด€์„ ํ•ฉํ•˜๊ฑฐ๋‚˜ ์—ฐ๊ฒฐํ•˜๋Š” ๊ฒƒ์„ ์„œ๋‘๋ฅผ ํ•„์š”๊ฐ€ ์—†์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.

์บกํ‹ด ๋งˆ๋ธ”์˜ ๋“ฑ์žฅ์€ ํ™•์‹คํ•ด ๋ณด์ด์ง€๋งŒ, ์–ด๋ฒค์ ธ์Šค 4์—์„œ ๋ณธ๊ฒฉ์ ์ธ ์„ธ๋Œ€๊ต์ฒด๊ฐ€ ์ด๋ฃจ์–ด์ง€์ง€๋Š” ์•Š์„ ๊ฒƒ์œผ๋กœ ๋ณด์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.

์ดํ›„ ๊ฐœ๋ด‰ ์˜ˆ์ • ์˜ํ™”

Avengers: Infinity War (Apr 27, 2018) The Avengers 3
Untitled Deadpool (May 18, 2018) Deadpool 2
Ant-Man & The Wasp (Jul 6, 2018)
X-Men: Dark Phoenix (Feb 14, 2019)
Captain Marvel (Mar 8, 2019)
Untitled Avengers film (May 3, 2019) The Avengers 4
New Mutants (Aug 2, 2019)
Untitled Spider-Man: Homecoming Sequel (Jul 5, 2019) Spider-Man: Homecoming 2

Untitled Avengers film
Directed by: Anthony Russo, Joe Russo
Produced by: Kevin Feige
Screenplay by: Christopher Markus, Stephen McFeely
Based on: The Avengers by Stan Lee, Jack Kirby
Starring 
- Robert Downey Jr. as Tony Stark / Iron Man:
- Chris Hemsworth as Thor:
- Mark Ruffalo as Bruce Banner / Hulk:
- Chris Evans as Steve Rogers/ Captain America:
- Scarlett Johansson as Natasha Romanoff / Black Widow: 
- Benedict Cumberbatch as Stephen Strange/ Doctor Strange:
- Don Cheadle as James "Rhodey" Rhodes / War Machine:
- Tom Holland as Peter Parker / Spider-Man: 
- Chadwick Boseman as T'Challa / Black Panther:
- Paul Bettany as Vision: 
- Elizabeth Olsen as Wanda Maximoff / Scarlet Witch: 
- Anthony Mackie as Sam Wilson / Falcon:
- Sebastian Stan as Bucky Barnes / White Wolf:
- Tom Hiddleston as Loki: 
- Pom Klementieff as Mantis: 
- Karen Gillan as Nebula:
- Dave Bautista as Drax the Destroyer: 
- Zoe Saldana as Gamora: 
- Gwyneth Paltrow as Virginia "Pepper" Potts: 
- Josh Brolin as Thanos:
- Chris Pratt as Peter Quill / Star-Lord:
- Jeremy Renner as Clint Barton / Hawkeye:
- Evangeline Lilly as Hope van Dyne / Wasp:
- Jon Favreau as Harold "Happy" Hogan:
- Paul Rudd as Scott Lang / Ant-Man: 
- Brie Larson as Carol Danvers / Captain Marvel:
Production company: Marvel Studios
Distributed by: Walt Disney Studios Motion Pictures
Release date: May 3, 2019 (United States)
Country: United States
Language: English



์–ด๋ฒค์ ธ์Šค: ์ธํ”ผ๋‹ˆํ‹ฐ ์›Œ

์–ด๋ฒค์ ธ์Šค: ์ธํ”ผ๋‹ˆํ‹ฐ ์›Œ (Avengers: Infinity War, 2018)

๋นŒ๋Ÿฐ (villain)

๋ฏธ๊ตญ ๋งŒํ™”๊ณ„์˜ ์–‘๋Œ€ ์‚ฐ๋งฅ, DC์ฝ”๋ฏน์Šค(DC Comics, 1934)์™€ ๋งˆ๋ธ”(Marvel Comics, 1939). ๋งŒํ™”์—์„œ๋Š” ์˜ค๋žซ๋™์•ˆ ์•ž์„œ๊ฑฐ๋‹ˆ ๋’ท์„œ๊ฑฐ๋‹ˆ ํ•ด์™”์ง€๋งŒ, ์–ด๋А์ƒˆ ์˜ํ™”๊ณ„์—์„œ๋Š” ๋งˆ๋ธ”์ด ์••๋„์ ์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.

๊ทธ๋Ÿฐ๋ฐ, ๋งˆ๋ธ”์˜ ์˜ํ™” ์‹œ๋ฆฌ์ฆˆ์— ์•„์‰ฌ์šด ์ ์ด ์žˆ์—ˆ์œผ๋‹ˆ, ๋งค๋ ฅ์ ์ธ(?) ์•…๋‹น์˜ ๋ถ€์žฌ์˜€์ฃ . DC๋Š” ๋ฐฐํŠธ๋งจ(Batman)์˜ ์กฐ์ปค(Joker), ์Šˆํผ๋งจ(Superman)์˜ ๋ ‰์Šค(Lex Luthor) ๋“ฑ ๋ˆˆ๊ธธ์„ ๋„๋Š” ์•…๋‹น์ด ์žˆ๋Š”๋ฐ, ๋งˆ๋ธ”์€ ๊ธฐ๋Œ€๋ฅผ ๋ชจ์•˜๋˜ ์–ด๋ฒค์ ธ์Šค 2ํƒ„(Avengers: Age of Ultron, 2015)์˜ ์šธํŠธ๋ก ๋„ ์˜ํ™” ๊ฐœ๋ด‰ ํ›„ ๊ธฐ๋Œ€ ์ดํ•˜๋ผ๋Š” ํ‰์„ ๋ฐ›์•˜์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.

ํ•˜์ง€๋งŒ, ์ด๋ฒˆ ํŽธ์„ ๋ณด๋ฉด ๋งํ•˜๊ฒŒ ๋ฉ๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ์ด ์˜ํ™”๋Š” ์Šˆํผ ํžˆ์–ด๋กœ๋ฌผ(Superheroes)์ด ์•„๋‹Œ ์Šˆํผ ๋นŒ๋ก ๋ฌผ(Supervillains)์ด๋ผ๊ณ . ์–ด๋ฒค์ ธ์Šค ์˜ํ™”๊ฐ€ ์•„๋‹Œ ํƒ€๋…ธ์Šค(Josh Brolin as Thanos) ์˜ํ™”๋ผ๊ณ .

์ถฉ๊ฒฉ

์˜ํ™”๋Š” ์‹œ์ž‘๋ถ€ํ„ฐ ๋๋‚  ๋•Œ๊นŒ์ง€ ํœ˜๋ชฐ์•„ ์นฉ๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.  ์ž‘์ •ํ–ˆ๋‹ค๋Š” ํ‘œํ˜„์ด ์–ด์šธ๋ฆด ์ •๋„๋กœ.

๊ทธ ์ค‘ ๋„์ž…๋ถ€ ์ธํŠธ๋กœ์™€ ๊ฒฐ๋ง๋ถ€ ์ „ํˆฌ์žฅ๋ฉด์€ ์ถฉ๊ฒฉ์ ์ด๋ผ๊ณ  ํ‘œํ˜„ํ•  ์ •๋„์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.

๋‹ค๋งŒ, ์–ด๋””๊นŒ์ง€๋‚˜ ๊ทน์˜ ์ „๊ฐœ ๋ฐฉํ–ฅ์„ ์ „ํ˜€ ๋ชจ๋ฅด๊ณ  ๋ดค์„ ๋•Œ ๊ธฐ์ค€์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ๊ธฐ๋Œ€๋ฅผ ๋„ˆ๋ฌด ๋งŽ์ด ํ–ˆ๋‹ค๊ฐ€๋Š” ์ถฉ๊ฒฉ์ด ์•„๋‹Œ ์‹ค๋ง์ผ ์ˆ˜๋„ ์žˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.

์•”์šธ

์–ด๋ฒค์ ธ์Šค ์‹œ๋ฆฌ์ฆˆ ์ค‘ ๊ฐ€์žฅ ์•”์šธํ•  ๊ฒƒ์œผ๋กœ ์˜ˆ์ƒ๋˜์—ˆ๋˜ ํ† ๋ฅด: ๋ผ๊ทธ๋‚˜๋กœํฌ. ํ•˜์ง€๋งŒ, ๋šœ๊ป‘์„ ์—ด์–ด๋ณด๋‹ˆ ํ† ๋ฅด ์‹œ๋ฆฌ์ฆˆ ์ค‘ ๊ฐ€์žฅ ์›ƒ์Œ ์ฝ”๋“œ๊ฐ€ ๋งŽ์•˜์ฃ . ๊ทธ๋ฆฌ๊ณ , ๋‚ด์šฉ๊นŒ์ง€ ๋ฐ์•˜๋˜ ๊ฑด ์•„๋‹ˆ๋”๋ผ๋„ ํฌ๋ง์€ ๋‚จ๊ฒจ ๋†“์•˜์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.

์˜ˆ์ƒ ์™ธ๋กœ (ํ˜น์ž์— ์˜ํ•˜๋ฉด ์˜ˆ์ƒ๋Œ€๋กœ) ์–ด๋ฒค์ ธ์Šค: ์ธํ”ผ๋‹ˆํ‹ฐ ์›Œ(Avengers: Infinity War, 2018)๊ฐ€ ์ง€๊ธˆ๊นŒ์ง€ ์ค‘ ๊ฐ€์žฅ ์•”์šธํ•œ ์˜ํ™”์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.

๊ธฐ๋Œ€

์–ด๋ฒค์ ธ์Šค: ์ธํ”ผ๋‹ˆํ‹ฐ ์›Œ 1๊ณผ ์–ด๋ฒค์ ธ์Šค: ์ธํ”ผ๋‹ˆํ‹ฐ ์›Œ 2๋กœ ๋‚˜์˜ค๋ ค๋˜ ์–ด๋ฒค์ ธ์Šค ์‹œ๋ฆฌ์ฆˆ๊ฐ€ ์–ด๋ฒค์ ธ์Šค:์ธํ”ผ๋‹ˆํ‹ฐ์™€ ๋‹ค๋ฅธ ์ œ๋ชฉ์˜ ์–ด๋ฒค์ ธ์Šค ์‹œ๋ฆฌ์ฆˆ๋กœ ๋‚˜์˜จ๋‹ค๊ณ  ์„ ํšŒํ•˜๋ฉฐ, ๋‘ ํŽธ์˜ ์—ฐ๊ฒฐ๊ณ ๋ฆฌ๊ฐ€ ์—†๋Š” ๊ฒƒ ์•„๋‹ˆ๋ƒ๋Š” ์ถ”์ธก๋“ค๋„ ๋Œ์•˜์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.

ํ•˜์ง€๋งŒ, 3ํŽธ์ด ์žฌ๋ฏธ์žˆ์œผ๋ฉด์„œ๋„ ์•”์šธํ•˜๊ธฐ์— ํ›„์†ํŽธ์„ ๊ธฐ๋Œ€ํ•  ์ˆ˜ ๋ฐ–์— ์—†์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.

๊ทธ๋ฆฌ๊ณ , ์ฟ ํ‚ค ์˜์ƒ. ๊ทธ๋…€์˜ ๋“ฑ์žฅ์„ ์˜ˆ๊ณ ํ•˜์ฃ . ์ฟ ํ‚ค ์˜์ƒ์—๋Š” ๋ชจ์Šต์„ ๋ณด์ด์ง€ ์•Š์ง€๋งŒ, ์—ฌ๊ธฐ์ €๊ธฐ์—์„œ ์ด๋ฏธ ํ˜๋Ÿฌ๋‚˜์˜จ ๊ทธ๋…€์˜ ๋ชจ์Šต. ๋งŒํ™” ์† ์บ๋ฆญํ„ฐ ๋ณด๋‹ค ๋ถ€์กฑํ•ด ๋ณด์ด๋Š” ๋ชจ์Šต์— ๊ธฐ๋Œ€์™€ ์šฐ๋ ค๊ฐ€ ๊ฐ™์ด ์žˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.

Directed by: Anthony Russo, Joe Russo
Produced by: Kevin Feige
Screenplay by: Christopher Markus, Stephen McFeely
Based on: The Avengers by Stan Lee, Jack Kirby
Starring:
- Robert Downey Jr. as Tony Stark / Iron Man
- Chris Hemsworth as Thor
- Mark Ruffalo as Bruce Banner / Hulk
- Chris Evans as Steve Rogers / Captain America
- Scarlett Johansson as Natasha Romanoff / Black Widow
- Benedict Cumberbatch as Stephen Strange / Doctor Strange
- Don Cheadle as James "Rhodey" Rhodes / War Machine
- Tom Holland as Peter Parker / Spider-Man
- Chadwick Boseman as T'Challa / Black Panther
- Paul Bettany as Vision
- Elizabeth Olsen as Wanda Maximoff / Scarlet Witch
- Anthony Mackie as Sam Wilson / Falcon
- Sebastian Stan as James "Bucky" Barnes / Winter Soldier / White Wolf
- Tom Hiddleston as Loki
- Idris Elba as Heimdall
- Peter Dinklage as Eitri
- Benedict Wong as Wong
- Pom Klementieff as Mantis
- Karen Gillan as Nebula
- Dave Bautista as Drax the Destroyer
- Zoe Saldana as Gamora
- Vin Diesel as Groot
- Bradley Cooper as Rocket
- Gwyneth Paltrow as Pepper Potts
- Benicio del Toro as Taneleer Tivan / The Collector
- Josh Brolin as Thanos
- Chris Pratt as Peter Quill / Star-Lord
Production company: Marvel Studios
Distributed by: Walt Disney Studios Motion Pictures
Release date: April 23, 2018 (Dolby Theatre), April 27, 2018 (United States)
Running time: 149 minutes
Country: United States
Language: English
Budget: $300–400 million