January 08, 2018

Los Angeles Office Market: Price (2)

Los Angeles Office Market: Price

VI. Price

VI-2. ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜๋Ÿ‰๊ณผ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ(RCA)

RCA์— ์˜ํ•˜๋ฉด ๋ฏธ๊ตญ ๋ฐ LA ๋ชจ๋‘ ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜๋Ÿ‰ ๋ฐ ๋งค๋งค๋‹จ๊ฐ€ ์ƒ์Šน ์ค‘.





Los Angeles Office Market: Price (1)

Los Angeles Office Market: Price

VI. Price

VI-1. ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ(RCA, Moody’s/RCA)

RCA์— ์˜ํ•˜๋ฉด Office์˜ ๋งค๋งค๋‹จ๊ฐ€(Price Per Square Foot; PPSF)๋Š” ์ง€์†์ ์œผ๋กœ ์ƒ์Šน.
- 2009.03์›”์„ 100์œผ๋กœ ํ•˜์˜€์„ ๋•Œ, LA์˜ ๊ฒฝ์šฐ ์ง€์†์ ์œผ๋กœ ์ƒ์Šนํ•˜์—ฌ 2017.09์›” 130 ์ƒํšŒ
- US์™€ Manhattan์˜ ๊ฒฝ์šฐ 2017๋…„ ์ดํ›„ ํ•˜๋ฝํ•˜๋ฉฐ, ๋ฏธ๊ตญ(94)๊ณผ ๋งจํ•˜ํŠผ(96) ๋ชจ๋‘ CPI(116) ๋ฐ PCE(114) ์ƒ์Šน๋ฅ  ํ•˜ํšŒ

Moody’s/RCA ๋ถ€๋™์‚ฐ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ์ง€์ˆ˜์— ์˜ํ•˜๋ฉด, US ์ „์ฒด ๋ถ€๋™์‚ฐ(152) ๋ฐ Office(129) ๋ชจ๋‘ ํฐ ํญ์œผ๋กœ ์ƒ์Šน




Los Angeles Office Market: Supply and Demand (3)

Los Angeles Office Market: Supply and Demand

V. ์ž„๋Œ€์ˆ˜์š”์™€ ๊ณต๊ธ‰

V-3. LA South ์˜คํ”ผ์Šค ์ž„๋Œ€์ˆ˜์š”์™€ ๊ณต๊ธ‰(CI)

CI์— ์˜ํ•˜๋ฉด, Greater LA๋Š” ์ˆœํก์ˆ˜๊ฐ€ ๊ฐ์†Œํ•˜๊ธฐ๋Š” ํ•˜์˜€์œผ๋‚˜, ์—ฌ์ „ํžˆ ๊ณต๊ธ‰์„ ์ƒํšŒํ•˜๋Š” ์ˆ˜์ค€
LA South๋Š” ์ˆœํก์ˆ˜๊ฐ€ ๊ณต๊ธ‰์„ ์ƒํšŒ
LA South์˜ ๊ณต๊ธ‰ ์ฆ๊ฐ€๊ฐ€ El Segundo ์ง€์—ญ์— ์ง‘์ค‘๋˜์–ด ์žˆ์œผ๋‚˜, El Segundo ์—ญ์‹œ ์ˆœํก์ˆ˜๊ฐ€ ๊ณต๊ธ‰์„ ์ƒํšŒํ•˜๊ณ  ์žˆ์Œ
- El Segundo ์ง€์—ญ๋„ ์ธต๊ณ  ์ œํ•œ ๋“ฑ ์‹ ๊ทœ ๊ณต๊ธ‰์— ์ œํ•œ์ด ์žˆ์–ด์„œ, ๊ณต๊ธ‰ ์ฆ๊ฐ€๋Š” ๋”๋”œ ๊ฒƒ์œผ๋กœ ์˜ˆ์ƒ




Los Angeles Office Market: Supply and Demand (2)

Los Angeles Office Market: Supply and Demand

V. ์ž„๋Œ€์ˆ˜์š”์™€ ๊ณต๊ธ‰

V-2. LA ์˜คํ”ผ์Šค ์ž„๋Œ€์ˆ˜์š”์™€ ๊ณต๊ธ‰(CW)

CW์— ์˜ํ•˜๋ฉด,
Demand: 2015๋…„ ์ดํ›„ LA CBD ๋ฐ ๊ทธ ์™ธ LA ์ง€์—ญ์—์„œ ๋ชจ๋‘ ์ˆœํก์ˆ˜(Net Absorption)๊ฐ€ ๊ฐ์†Œํ•˜๊ณ  ์žˆ์Œ
Supply: ๊ณต๊ธ‰์ด ์ฆ๊ฐ€๋˜๋ฉฐ, LA ์ง€์—ญ์—์„œ์˜ ๊ณต๊ธ‰์€ ์ˆ˜์š”๋ฅผ ์ƒํšŒ
- ์ ˆ๋Œ€ ๊ทœ๋ชจ๋กœ๋Š” ์—ฌ์ „ํžˆ ๊ณต๊ธ‰ ๊ทœ๋ชจ๊ฐ€ ํฌ์ง€ ์•Š์œผ๋ฉฐ, West LA ๋“ฑ ์ž„์ฐจ์ธ์ด ์„ ํ˜ธํ•˜๋Š” ์ง€์—ญ์˜ ๊ฒฝ์šฐ, ๊ฐ•๋ ฅํ•œ ๊ทœ์ œ๋กœ ๊ณต๊ธ‰์ด ์ œํ•œ์ 




Los Angeles Office Market: Supply and Demand (1)

Los Angeles Office Market: Supply and Demand

V. ์ž„๋Œ€์ˆ˜์š”์™€ ๊ณต๊ธ‰

V-1. ๋ฏธ๊ตญ ์˜คํ”ผ์Šค ์ž„๋Œ€์ˆ˜์š”์™€ ๊ณต๊ธ‰(REIS)

REIS์— ์˜ํ•˜๋ฉด,
- Demand: ๊ธˆ์œต์œ„๊ธฐ๋ฅผ ๊ฒช์œผ๋ฉฐ ํฐ ํญ์œผ๋กœ ํ•˜๋ฝํ–ˆ๋˜ ์ˆœํก์ˆ˜(Net Absorption)๋Š” ๋น ๋ฅด๊ฒŒ ํšŒ๋ณต
- Supply: ์ˆ˜์š” ์ฆ๊ฐ€์— ๋งž์ถฐ ๊พธ์ค€ํžˆ ์ฆ๊ฐ€ํ•˜์˜€์œผ๋ฉฐ, ์ตœ๊ทผ ๊ณต๊ธ‰์ด ์ˆ˜์š”๋ฅผ ์†Œํญ ์ƒํšŒํ•˜๋Š” ๋ชจ์Šต




Los Angeles Office Market: Vacancy (3)

IV. ๊ณต์‹ค(Vacancy)

IV-3. LA South ๊ณต์‹ค๋ฅ (CI)

LA County์˜ Class A ์˜คํ”ผ์Šค ๊ณต์‹ค๋ฅ ์€ 14.3%๋กœ ๋†’์€ ์ˆ˜์ค€์ด๋‚˜ ํ•˜๋ฝ ์ถ”์„ธ ์ง€์†

LA South์˜ ๊ณต์‹ค๋ฅ ์€ LA ๋‚ด์—์„œ๋„ ๋†’์€ ์ˆ˜์ค€์ด๋‚˜ ํ•˜๋ฝํญ์€ ๊ฐ€์žฅ ํผ
- El Segundo ์ง€์—ญ์€ ๊ณต์‹ค๋ฅ ์ด 12%๋กœ LA South ๋‚ด์—์„œ ๋‚ฎ์€ ์ˆ˜์ค€์ด๋ฉฐ, ๊พธ์ค€ํ•œ ํ•˜๋ฝ์„ธ ์œ ์ง€






Los Angeles Office Market: Vacancy (2)

Los Angeles Office Market: Vacancy

IV. ๊ณต์‹ค(Vacancy)

IV-2. ๊ณต์‹ค๋ฅ (CW)

CW์— ์˜ํ•˜๋ฉด, ๊ธˆ์œต์œ„๊ธฐ ์ดํ›„ ํ•˜๋ฝ์„ธ๋ฅผ ์ง€์†ํ•˜๋˜ ๊ณต์‹ค๋ฅ ์€ 2015๋…„ ์ดํ›„ ์ •์ฒด ๋˜๋Š” ์†Œํญ ์ƒ์Šนํ•˜๋Š” ๋ชจ์Šต์„ ๋ณด์ด๋‚˜, LA South์˜ ๊ฒฝ์šฐ ํ•˜๋ฝ์„ธ ์ง€์†



Los Angeles Office Market: Vacancy (1)

Los Angeles Office Market: Vacancy

IV. ๊ณต์‹ค(Vacancy)

IV-1. ๊ณต์‹ค๋ฅ (REIS)

๊ธˆ์œต์œ„๊ธฐ ์ดํ›„ ๋ฏธ๊ตญ ๋ฐ LA์˜ ์‹ค์—…๋ฅ ์€ ๋น ๋ฅด๊ฒŒ ์•ˆ์ •๋˜์—ˆ์œผ๋‚˜ ๊ณต์‹ค๋ฅ  ํ•˜๋ฝ ์†๋„๋Š” ์‹ค์—…๋ฅ  ๋งŒํผ ๋น ๋ฅด์ง€ ์•Š์•˜์Œ.